What Political Change in Pakistan Could Mean for its Relationship with India

 

Shehbaz Sharif took office as Pakistan's 23rd prime minister on April 11 following Imran Khan's resignation due to a Vote of No Confidence. Prime Minister Narendra Modi of India was one of the first world leaders to congratulate Prime Minister Sharif. Warmly responding, Prime Minister Sharif expressed his wish for "meaningful engagement" and a peaceful resolution to the Kashmir conflict. According to reports, the two leaders have also written one other through diplomatic channels.

Despite the fact that this is a standard diplomatic practise, it comes after a particularly tumultuous period in the two countries' relations, which have been deteriorating since New Delhi revoked the special status granted to the disputed region of Kashmir under Article 370 and 35A of the Indian constitution on August 5, 2019. The continuation of the joint cease-fire announcement on February 25, 2021, and Pakistan's first-ever National Security Policy's explicit mention of strengthening ties with India while keeping Kashmir at the centre of the bilateral relationship open the door to the possibility of normalising diplomatic relations. Although it is unclear whether both administrations have the political will to reverse the downward trend in relations, the change of government in Pakistan offers the perfect setting to do so.

A Perspective From Pakistan: The PML-N's Strategy

The three terms of Shehbaz Sharif's older brother, Nawaz Sharif, who is a member of the same political party, should be considered in addition to his potential India policy. Numerous reports have emphasised Nawaz Sharif's "soft approach" to India, which included a 1999 meeting for peace negotiations with former Indian Prime Minister Atal Bihari Vajpayee and a close friendship with Modi. In 2014, during his final term in office, Nawaz Sharif did not meet with the Hurriyat leadership, which was seen as a shift from Pakistan's position on Kashmir. Furthermore, the joint statement issued following a significant Ufa declaration signed by Modi and the then-Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif in

purely defined by the nation's military leadership as well as its civilian leadership. Perhaps the tone will be more lenient towards India than it was under the Imran Khan administration, but a significant change in strategy is extremely doubtful.

Shehbaz Sharif has also been praised for being less hostile to India than his predecessor. He has supported trade connections between the two nations as a businessman. In 2013, Prime Minister Shehbaz visited India, where he met Manmohan Singh, who was the country's prime minister at the time, and State Minister Prakash Singh Badal. He advocated for a cordial conversation between the two counties at the conference.

The future will tell whether Shehbaz Sharif would continue his brother's policy in his dealings with India. It is crucial to remember that the military leadership of the nation also plays a role in defining relations with India, in addition to the civilian leadership of the nation. A significant change in policy is extremely improbable for two reasons, even though the tone towards India might be gentler than during the Imran Khan administration. The first explanation is the present unrest within Pakistan.

After the no-confidence vote, the Pakistani public has become sharply divided, with rallies against the current administration among them. As a result, any attempt to mend relations with India could encounter fierce public opposition. Second, the struggle between the United States and China has gotten more intense recently, which might influence relations between India and Pakistan. While India and the United States have seen significant growth in their bilateral ties in recent years, Pakistan and China's relations are distinguished by a long history of friendly relations and a solid strategic partnership. This is particularly true now that a partnership has been formed in the Quadrilateral Security Dialogue and the Basic Exchange and Cooperation Agreement has been signed during the 2020 2+2 dialogue.






What Political Change in Pakistan Could Mean for its Relationship with India What Political Change in Pakistan Could Mean for its Relationship with India Reviewed by Healthy Living Guide on May 08, 2023 Rating: 5

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